MMP Offline Upload & Sell: On
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p.3 #7 · Adobe is dying a slow painful death. | |
ruthenium wrote:
My concern is about the effect of AI on the younger generation, that is, on the future (potential) users of photography processing software. Today, there is some concern about the effect of "offloading" intellectual tasks to AI on the intellectual abilities of the individuals who use AI. To quote from a recent research article:
"information stored in a technical device might be quickly forgotten, or might not be processed deeply enough so that no long-term memory representations are formed. In addition to detrimental effects of offloading on (long-term) memory, offloading hinders skill acquisition and harms metacognition"
A practical example of this I see in my senior undergraduate chemistry courses where 50% of my students don't know the composition and structure of acetic acid - this is one of the most simple and trivial organic compounds that is the principle ingredient of vinegar: CH3COOH.
For a student enrolled in a Chemistry program, not knowing the structure of acetic acid is comparable to not being able to tell the product of 5 x 5 without using a calculator (or ChatGPT).
What I am alluding to is that in the near future, the next generation of photographers may well find the "old-fashioned" software products, that are not AI-based and require some conscious and educated decision-making, too complicated and impossible to use.
I wouldn't be surprised if in 10 years from now programs like Photoshop would be used only by a small group of professionals, specializing in certain tasks that most future photographers would have only a very vague idea of. The main tools of "tomorrow" are probably going to be software products that are being developed now (we don't have these yet), that would do most processing facilitated by AI, and these shall replace the "default" processing applications of today.
The next generation of photographers wouldn't have the slightest idea of why one need to do all the manual adjustments, dodge and burn, masking, etc. instead of allowing the AI to do all the menial tasks that take so much time today.
My concern is that Lr, Ps, C1, etc. are soon going to be like phones with rotary dials....Show more →
I do think I understand what you're getting at, but I think you may be overlooking at least two related details. If Adobe keeps their current user interfaces, then I'd agree with your prediction. However, I think the chances of Adobe not adapting to further incorporate AI into their interface is slim to none. I believe they will always keep full manual controls available, but contrary to the current setup where manual controls are front and center and AI processes are somewhat more tucked away, I think we're likely to see those manual controls more hidden in the future. With that assumption you have to ask yourself, will I (or the next generation) really NEED the editing skills in 10yrs? The logical answer is, quite obviously, no.
I don't want to go too far off track with this, but it's probably worth entertaining that same question with regards to some current college degrees and course work. I'm not disputing that handing off tasks to AI hinders skill acquisition, but instead I'm suggesting that perhaps that skill is no longer worth acquiring. We've seen this already in recent history with not having to memorize phone numbers, not needing to read a paper map or follow written driving directions. I was required to learn things in college that I now don't need to know in my career because of technological advancements, and this was well before the advent of AI. If 10% of what I learned has been handed off to technology, imagine the percentage 10yrs from now for a current graduate now that AI is in the picture. Similar to Adobe, if colleges don't adapt their curriculum, you could expect a significant drop in enrollment as the neccesity would be highly diminished.
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